RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 AM CST Sat Jan 17 2026
Valid 171300Z - 181200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today or tonight.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Large-scale upper troughing will remain dominant over the central
and eastern CONUS through the period, with multiple embedded
mid-level shortwave troughs progressing over the southern/central
Plains, MS Valley/Midwest, and Southeast. At the surface, a cold
front will continue moving southeastward off the central Gulf Coast
today. Even with gradual low-level moisture return/airmass
modification forecast across parts of the southern FL Peninsula and
Keys, poor lapse rates aloft are expected to limit thunderstorm
potential ahead of the front through tonight.
..Gleason.. 01/17/2026
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