SPC Nov 24, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
      
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

Valid 241300Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EAST
TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI....

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from mid-afternoon into
the overnight hours from east Texas into central/southern
Mississippi.

...TX/LA/MS...
A large upper trough is moving eastward across the southern Plains
this morning, with an associated 60-70 knot mid level jet expected
to track into AR by evening.  At the surface, a warm front currently
extends from southeast TX to just off the LA coast.  This boundary
will lift northward through the day, with a moist and moderately
unstable air mass spreading inland.  A combination of diurnal
destabilization and the approaching upper trough will lead to
convective intensification by early afternoon over east TX.  These
initial storms will pose a risk of large hail and perhaps some gusty
winds and a tornado or two.  

As the activity spreads eastward after dark, rather strong low-level
shear profiles in vicinity of the warm front will maintain a risk of
severe storms through much of the night across central LA and
southern MS.  Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will be possible.

..Hart/Broyles.. 11/24/2025


Read more

/wxspcconvective.php XML error: > required at line 71: <?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?> <rss version="2.0" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"> <channel> <title>SPC Convective Outlooks</title> <link>https://www.spc.noaa.gov/</link> <description>Storm Prediction Center</description> <language>en-us</language> <copyright>None</copyright> <managingEditor>spc.feedback@noaa.gov (spc.feedback@noaa.gov)</managingEditor> <webMaster>spc.feedback@noaa.gov (spc.feedback@noaa.gov)</webMaster> <pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2025 16:28:01 +0000</pubDate> <lastBuildDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2025 16:28:01 +0000</lastBuildDate> <rating>general</rating> <docs>http://validator.w3.org/feed/rss2.html</docs> <ttl>1</ttl> <atom:link href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/spcacrss.xml" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" /> <image> <url>http://weather.gov/images/xml_logo.gif</url> <title>SPC Convective Outlooks</title> <link>https://www.spc.noaa.gov/</link> </image> <item> <link>https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html</link> <title>SPC Nov 24, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook</title> <description>SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook <![CDATA[<br /><a href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html"><img src="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.gif" border="1" alt="Day 1 Outlook Image" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="815" height="555" align="center" /></a><pre> Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from mid-afternoon into the overnight hours from east Texas into central/southern Mississippi. ...TX/LA/MS... A large upper trough is moving eastward across the southern Plains this morning, with an associated 60-70 knot mid level jet expected to track into AR by evening. At the surface, a warm front currently extends from southeast TX to just off the LA coast. This boundary will lift northward through the day, with a moist and moderately unstable air mass spreading inland. A combination of diurnal destabilization and the approaching upper trough will lead to convective intensification by early afternoon over east TX. These initial storms will pose a risk of large hail and perhaps some gusty winds and a tornado or two. As the activity spreads eastward after dark, rather strong low-level shear profiles in vicinity of the warm front will maintain a risk of severe storms through much of the night across central LA and southern MS. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes will be possible. ..Hart/Broyles.. 11/24/2025 </pre> <a href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html">Read more</a> ]]> </description> <pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:40:21 +0000</pubDate> <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html/202511241628</guid> </item> <item> <li