825
FXUS63 KIND 150729
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
229 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather expected over the next 7 days

- Progressively warmer through the upcoming week with highs into the
  60s by Wednesday and Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION (Today through Saturday)...
Issued at 229 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

An upper trough over New England will lift out to the northeast into
the early part of the week with broad ridging aloft and at the
surface expanding into the Ohio Valley. This will result in an
extended period of quiet dry weather throughout the upcoming week
with temperatures rising back to above normal levels. The next
threat for rain will not come until next weekend as a cold front
moves into the region.

Through Tonight

A renewed surge of broken stratus has expanded across much of the
forecast area to the east of Interstate 65 early this morning. Skies
were clear to the west of I-65. 07Z temperatures ranged from the mid
20s in parts of the Wabash Valley to the upper 30s in locations
under the stratus.

The deep upper trough continues to pull away to the east this
morning but cyclonic flow aloft persists on the back side across
the Great Lakes. This continues to aid in generating stratus
drifting S/SE across lower Michigan and the warmer waters of Lake
Michigan. Even as drier air attempts to advect in from the west
today...broken stratus is likely to linger across the northeast half
of the forecast area through midday before slowly diminishing in
coverage and shifting east later this afternoon into the evening.
Cellular stratocu may develop on the western flank of the stratus
deck as well but the overall trend will be for decreasing cloud
coverage as the afternoon progresses with high pressure building in.

The expansion of the center of the high into the region tonight will
aid in further erosion of any lingering low clouds...but could also
support some expansion of stratus back to the west into northeast
portions of the forecast area in the predawn hours Monday as light
easterly flow develops.

Temps...highs today will range from the mid 40s northeast where
greater cloud cover is expected to the lower 50s in the lower Wabash
Valley. Low level thermals suggest slightly warmer temperatures
Sunday. Lows will range from the mid 20s to lower 30s both tonight
and Sunday night.

Temps...low level thermals support highs this afternoon generally 2-
4 degrees warmer than Saturday in the lower and mid 50s. Lows
tonight will again fall into a range from the mid 20s to lower 30s.

Monday through Saturday

The strong surface high pressure will settle across the region for
the first part of the week...gradually shifting into the central
Appalachians and parking itself through Friday and perhaps into next
weekend. With broad ridging aloft establishing over the eastern part
of the country as well...a tranquil weather pattern will persist all
week across the Ohio Valley with storm systems deflected overtop of
the ridge. Lingering boundary layer moisture may aid in diurnal cu
development across the northeast half of the forecast area Monday
otherwise progressively deeper subsidence will develop with mostly
clear skies. Any potential for rain will hold off until next weekend
at the earliest at this point as a cold front approaches and
attempts to buckle the eastern ridging. The onset of warm advection
will usher in a slow warming trend with highs rising into the 60s
for the second half of next week.

&&

.AVIATION (06Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 1122 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

Impacts:

- Brief periods of MVFR ceilings at KIND through Sunday morning
- Patchy fog at KBMG and KHUF near daybreak Sunday

Discussion:

Stratus is again pivoting back south late this evening and will
encompass both KIND and KLAF by 06Z and to KBMG closer to daybreak
Sunday. Ceilings have generally been hovering between 3000 and
3500ft with more expansive MVFR decks located over northeast and
eastern Indiana. May briefly see ceilings dip to MVFR at KIND
through Sunday morning otherwise expect cloud bases at around
3500ft. With mainly clear skies at KBMG and KHUF in the predawn
hours...patchy fog will be a possibility.

Stratus will mix out from the west late Sunday afternoon with skies
clearing. Enough lingering low level moisture may keep scattered
MVFR ceilings near KIND Sunday night otherwise VFR conditions are
expected. N/NW winds today will veer to light northeast Sunday night.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...Ryan
DISCUSSION...Ryan