301
FXUS63 KIND 061459
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
959 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated light showers or patchy drizzle possible today, mainly
  through this morning

- Cooler temperatures are expected through the weekend, with lows
  near freezing tonight through Sunday night

- Highs return to the 60s early next week

&&

.FORECAST UPDATE...
Issued at 958 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026

Drizzle/mist has been reported across portions of the area this
morning, mainly near and south of I-70. The drizzle should gradually
shift south as weak forcing moves south. Updated the forecast to
include drizzle as needed this morning. Lake enhanced showers may
still get into the far north and northeast area, so kept the low
PoPs there.

Sky cover will be a bit more complicated with drier air clearing the
skies from the north in the far northwest forecast area. This trend
should continue for a while in the far west, but additional clouds
are trying to move south from Lake Michigan. Some cumulus may also
pop where skies clear initially with colder air moving in aloft.

For now though, will still allow skies to become partly cloudy west
into early afternoon with drier air eventually winning out. Some
breaks in the clouds may appear elsewhere as well, but clouds from
the lake will still move south, potentially creating a variable
cloudiness environment.

Lowered hourly temperatures this morning based on current trends but
left highs alone for now given uncertainties in sky cover.

&&

.DISCUSSION (Today through Thursday)...
Issued at 258 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026

Today through tonight...

Latest surface and satellite observations depict extensive
clouds across the region as a system moves through region. An
associated cold front currently centered near northern portions of
central Indiana is quickly pushing southward. Low-level convergence
along the boundary has promoted scattered light showers. Patchy
drizzle has also been reported at times ahead of the cold front.
Look for scattered light showers or drizzle to remain possible
through about daybreak drier air begins to filter in.

At least partial clearing is expected during the day due to cold air
advection behind the front. However, mostly cloudy skies should
persist for much of the day aided by lake enhanced low-level
moisture. Isolated lake enhanced showers or patchy drizzle cannot be
ruled out either, mainly across far northern counties. Limited
diurnal heating from mostly cloudy skies on top of continued cold
air advection will keep highs in the low-mid 50s. Clearing skies
late in the day into the evening along with winds becoming light
overnight supports efficient radiational cooling. Look for lows to
drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s tonight.

Saturday through the middle of next week...

Quiet weather conditions are expected this weekend through the
middle of next week as surface high pressure generally remains in
control. Ensemble guidance depicts a few subtle systems pushing weak
cold fronts through the region during this period. Gulf moisture
remaining cutoff will keep these fronts moisture starved though
allowing for dry conditions to persist.

Look for highs to remain in the low to mid 50s Saturday before
return flow helps temperatures moderate into early next week. Highs
on Sunday will generally range from the upper 50s to low 60s with
widespread highs in the 60s to start the work week. A cold front
moving through midweek should cool highs back down into the 50s by
Thursday. Widespread lows in the upper 20s to low 30s are expected
Saturday night into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 646 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026

Impacts:

- MVFR ceilings expected to improve to VFR late this morning into
  the afternoon, brief IFR vis/ceiling possible at KBMG through 13Z.

Discussion:

A cold front is now pushing southward through southern portions of
central Indiana. Widespread MVFR ceilings are ongoing with brief IFR
ceilings at BMG as the cold front is currently moving through. Look
for these ceilings to improve to VFR late this morning and into the
afternoon with drier air filtering in.

Drizzle will be possible over the next few hours mainly near BMG. A
stray light shower cannot be ruled out either at IND today.
Confidence is far too low for a TAF inclusion. Look for winds to
remain out of 320-360 degrees during the period with sustained
speeds of 07-12 kt today. Sporadic gusts between 15-19 kt appear
possible at times. Winds then become light this evening into
tonight.


&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...50
AVIATION...Melo
DISCUSSION...Melo