RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
Valid 150100Z - 151200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
EASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWEST TEXAS AND FAR SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms with hail and severe wind gusts remain possible from
Kansas/Missouri southwest into northwest Texas.
...Northwest TX into KS and MO...
Scattered high-based storms persist from northwest TX into far
western OK and southern KS, with locally severe gusts. This activity
should generally wane this evening as inhibition increases. Farther
north into eastern KS, new cells have finally developed near the
weak wind shift and within the moist axis where dewpoints are near
60 F. Steep lapse rates aloft as well as deep layer shear near 40 kt
and an increasing low-level jet will favor cells producing hail over
1.00" diameter and locally strong gusts this evening. Area 00Z
soundings show that inhibition will increase over the next several
hours and may render most storms elevated. However, hail potential
may persist. Overnight, additional storms remain likely over
northern MO and into western IL in the warm advection zone as the
weak upper wave moves across the area. Marginal hail and locally
strong gusts will be possible.
..Jewell.. 05/15/2026
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