RSS Mesoscale Discussions from Storm Prediction Center

SPC Nov 11, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
      
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1137 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A severe threat is not expected across the U.S. today or tonight.

...DISCUSSION...
Mid-level northwesterly flow will be in place today from the
Intermountain West to the Eastern Seaboard. At the surface, a cool
and dry airmass over much of the nation will make conditions
unfavorable for thunderstorm development.  No severe threat is
expected today and tonight.

..Broyles/Weinman.. 11/11/2025

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SPC Nov 11, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
      
Day 2 Outlook Image
Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Wednesday or Wednesday night.

...Discussion...
Stable and/or dry conditions will preclude lightning-producing
convection across nearly the entire CONUS. One exception is along
the West Coast from the Bay Area to southwest OR on Wednesday night
into early morning Thursday. A broad upper trough will move east
across the northeast Pacific. Within the low-level warm conveyor
ahead of it, a swath of low-topped convection should reach the coast
between 08-12Z Thursday. Scant elevated buoyancy may develop amid
the onshore flow regime and support an isolated thunderstorm risk.

..Grams.. 11/11/2025

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