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Forecast Discussion for Indianapolis, IN

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468
FXUS63 KIND 111930
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
330 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and humid today. Heat indices between 100 and 105 degrees.

- Thunderstorms likely again late tonight. Strong to severe storms
  possible, especially across northwestern portions of central
  Indiana.

- Slightly cooler weather for the weekend with near average
  temperatures.

- Showers and thunderstorms possible on Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION (This evening through Thursday)...
Issued at 330 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Heat and humidity continue today with heat indices near 100 degrees
this afternoon. Behind a cold front, which will bring a line of
showers and thunderstorms tonight, some relief to the hot conditions
will arrive.

Tonight`s round of convection will also be spurred on by a wave
ejecting from the broader trough aloft. Recent CAM runs continue to
slow the line down despite lagging slightly from where storms are
actively ongoing to our northwest. Still can`t rule out the line
slowing some between now and tonight, but will keep with the
arrival timing between 8pm and 10pm rather than later. Guidance
continues to show a bit more energy in the atmosphere which could
lead to severe thunderstorms at times, especially northwestern
portions of central Indiana. Like last night, storms will likely
become outflow dominant as they head southeast away from the best
forcing and shear, but damaging wind gusts will again be the main
threat as storms decay over our forecast area. Localized flooding
may also be a concern in heavier storms. Storms are expected to
weaken by around 2am followed by rain and the associated cold
front exiting to the SE by tomorrow morning.

Behind the front, central Indiana will see some relief for the
weekend. Another system will likely bring additional showers and
storms Saturday night to Sunday morning followed by further heat and
humidity relief going into the start of next week.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 222 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Impacts:

- Gusty SW winds from 20-25 kts during the afternoon.

- Thunderstorms arrive this evening, approaching KIND during
  freighter inbounds.

Discussion:

Increasing SW wind gusts of 20-25 kts by afternoon are expected.

Another convective line will move across central Indiana tonight
possibly affecting KIND during the middle part of the freighter
inbounds. As storms move through, temporary lowered ceilings and
visibilities to MVFR or worse will be possible. Rain is expected to
exit all TAF sites by 09z.

After the storms end tonight, a cold front will cross the area
causing winds to become west-northwesterly.


&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...KF
DISCUSSION...KF

Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Indianapolis, IN (IND) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)

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