781
FXUS63 KIND 141031
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
531 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cool conditions through the weekend

- Dry weather expected over the next 7 days

- Progressively warmer next week with highs into the 60s by
  Wednesday and Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION (Today through Friday)...
Issued at 211 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

A strong upper low will pivot from the eastern Great Lakes into
the Canadian Maritimes over the weekend...gradually loosening its
grip on the weather across the region. Dry and seasonably cool
weather is expected through early next week but as broad ridging
aloft and at the surface expands across the Ohio Valley...
temperatures will warm as the week progresses.

Today through Sunday Night

Areas of low stratus continue to redevelop across primarily the
northeastern half of the forecast area early this morning. Despite
these clouds...temperatures had fallen in to the lower and mid 30s
across most of central Indiana as of 07Z.

The eastward progression of the upper low into New England today
will enable drier air to begin advecting into the Ohio Valley but
an overall cyclonic flow aloft will persist on the back side of the
parent upper trough. A more expansive broken stratocu deck will
redevelop as a result later this morning but should largely remain
confined to the northeast half of the forecast area downwind of the
Lake Michigan fetch with scattered diurnal cu elsewhere. Low clouds
will linger across northeast counties tonight with skies clearing
elsewhere as a strong high pressure ridge expands into the area from
the west. The overall trend for Sunday will be for increasing
sunshine and less clouds as the center of the surface high drifts
into the mid Mississippi Valley. Stratocu should be more cellular in
nature on Sunday afternoon across northeast counties as
progressively drier air spreads east. Skies will become mostly clear
across the entire forecast area Sunday night as high pressure
centers over the region.

Temps...highs today will range from the mid 40s northeast where
greater cloud cover is expected to the lower 50s in the lower
Wabash Valley. Low level thermals suggest slightly warmer
temperatures Sunday. Lows will range from the mid 20s to lower 30s
both tonight and Sunday night.

Monday through Friday

With the departure of the upper trough off to the east...there will
be a transition to broad ridging aloft that will persist for much of
the upcoming week. The aforementioned surface high pressure will
settle across the eastern half of the country with progressively
deeper subsidence across the region keeping skies mostly clear. Any
potential for rain will hold off until next weekend at the earliest
at this point. The onset of warm advection will usher in a slow
warming trend with highs rising into the 60s for the second half of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 531 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

Impacts:

- Brief IFR ceilings at KBMG and KIND early this morning

Discussion:

Areas of stratocu will continue to drift southeast today impacting
KIND the most and KBMG and KLAF to a lesser extent. Brief IFR
ceilings are possible early this morning at KBMG and KIND otherwise
ceilings will reside at VFR levels. Cloud coverage will diminish
this evening at all but KIND.

Winds will remain northwest at up to 10kts today diminishing to less
than 5kts tonight.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...Ryan
DISCUSSION...Ryan