785
FXUS63 KIND 102325
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
725 PM EDT Fri Apr 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms ending by
  early evening

- Dry this weekend with much warmer air returning by Sunday

- Chances for rain and storms returns through next week, with
  the potential for severe weather and renewed flooding

&&

.DISCUSSION (This evening through Friday)...
Issued at 209 PM EDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Rest of This Afternoon...

A lack of decent moisture has kept shower coverage lower than
expected into early this afternoon. Although moisture is increasing,
am not confident that enough moisture will arrive to go with
anything higher than chance category PoPs. An isolated thunderstorm
can`t be ruled out, mainly south where temperatures have warmed into
the 70s.

Temperatures will fall north as colder air behind the front works in.

Tonight through Saturday...

High pressure will work in tonight, allowing for at least partial
clearing. Cold advection will bring temperatures down into the upper
30s north to middle 40s south. Far northern parts of the area may
dip into the middle 30s, but light winds should keep most if not all
frost at bay.

The high will keep conditions quiet on Saturday, but clouds will
increase again as warm advection kicks in aloft. Highs will be in
the 60s.

Saturday night through Sunday night...

A surface warm front will move through Saturday night into early
Sunday. Upper ridging will nudge into the area, keeping upper
support north of the area. While cannot rule out an isolated shower,
feel that odds are too low to mention.

Sunday night, a stronger upper wave will move into the area.
This will produce scattered to perhaps numerous showers along with a
few thunderstorms, mainly later Sunday night.

Highs on Sunday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Monday through Friday...

Southwest flow will continue aloft through much of this period, with
an upper trough across the western USA and upper ridging across the
southeastern USA.  At least into mid-week next week, high pressure
will be off to the southeast of central Indiana with a slowly moving
front to the west and northwest.

Uncertainty ramps up mid to late week next week as guidance differs
on when an upper trough will move east and allow a surface front to
move into or through the area.

The result will be in daily chances for showers and thunderstorms.
Early in the week rain chances will from upper impulses moving
through the southwest flow aloft generating forcing. Mid to late
week chances will come from the potential from the upper trough and
front move into/through the area.

Temperatures will be well above normal with southwest flow
persisting through much of the period. Highs could reach the mid 80s
at times, depending on timing of any rain.

There is severe weather potential at times early to mid week as the
surface front gets into the area, with warm and unstable air ahead
of the front.

&&

.AVIATION (00Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 724 PM EDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Impacts:

- MVFR ceilings before 03z Saturday.

Discussion:

Surface high pressure is building in behind the passage of a cold
front and winds have become northerly. MVFR ceilings between 1500-
2500 ft agl have been reported and will continue for the next few
hours. Gradual clearing is anticipated tonight as a dry subsident
air mass advects in from the north.

Winds gradually become northeasterly overnight and then easterly on
Saturday. As the surface high continues to drift eastward, winds are
expected to eventually become southeasterly late in the day
Saturday. Speeds remain under 10kt through the TAF period.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...Eckhoff
DISCUSSION...50