721
FXUS63 KIND 070755
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
255 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler temperatures are expected through the weekend, with lows
  around freezing through Sunday night

- Highs return to the 60s early next week, but cooler
  temperatures will return mid-late next week

- Isolated to scattered showers are possible Wednesday night into
  Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION (Today through Friday)...
Issued at 251 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026

Today through tonight...

Latest satellite observations depict low clouds have mostly cleared
out across central Indiana as northwest flow continues to filter in
drier air. Mostly clear skies along with winds becoming light from a
weakening pressure gradient has allowed for temperatures to quickly
drop well into the 30s already. Expect temperatures to continue
cooling with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Patchy fog
development also appears increasingly likely in climatologically
favored locations as winds have been very light or calm at times.
Any fog that develops should quickly mix out after daybreak.
Scattered to broken lake enhanced low clouds still remain across
far northeastern counties and will likely persist through at least
the first half of the day. These clouds may limit diurnal
temperature swings to some degree.

Surface high pressure centered near northern Missouri early this
morning will shift eastward through the day today promoting quiet
weather conditions. Mostly clear skies and light winds tonight may
once again support patchy fog development in climatologically favored
locations, but winds will increase slightly late overnight leading
to some uncertainty. Look for highs in the low to mid 50s today with
lows dropping into the upper 20s to low 30s tonight.

Sunday through late next next week...

Quiet weather conditions are expected to continue through the middle
of next week as surface high pressure generally remains in control.
Ensemble guidance depicts a few subtle systems pushing weak cold
fronts into the region, but gulf moisture remaining cutoff will keep
these fronts moisture starved, allowing for dry conditions to
persist. A cold front will move through on Sunday bringing breezy
conditions with southwesterly wind gusts between 20 to 30 mph
possible. Winds should then quickly taper off into Sunday night once
the pressure gradient relaxes as the cold front departs. Light winds
combined with mostly clear skies could support additional fog
development Sunday night into Monday morning.

A few shortwaves are expected to move through the region next week
after the cold front on Sunday passes. These upper waves will likely
push through a few more fronts through the area during the week. The
only system that could potentially support precipitation is a
shortwave moving in from the northwest late Wednesday into Thursday.
Weak to modest forcing and very limited moisture return supports a
low (20-30%) chance for rain.

Return flow will warm highs into the 60s early next week. Strong
cold air advection associated with deep troughing and a cold front
is then likely going to cool temperatures significantly mid-late
next week. Highs are only expected to reach the low to mid 50s by
Thursday and highs will struggle to get out of the 40s on Friday.

&&

.AVIATION (06Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 1234 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026

Impacts:

- None

Discussion:

VFR ceilings between 035 and 045 remain at KLAF. These ceilings will
shift eastward over the next hour or two as low level flow continues
to veer to more NW in that layer. KBMG/KHUF/KIND have cleared out
already and will likely remain clear until high clouds move in
towards midday.

NW winds will continue to gradually diminish overnight ranging
from calm at a few sites to 6 kts. Winds will remain NW during
much of the day before backing to more westerly and then
southwesterly late in the period as surface high pressure centered
over the MS valley slowly moves east. Winds will pick up some
during peak afternoon heating (17-21Z), but should remain at or
below 10 kts.


&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...Melo
DISCUSSION...Melo